Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.004015 0.004221 0.004431 0.004664 0.004913 0.005173 0.005465
2024-12-29 0.003588 0.003889 0.004210 0.004580 0.004996 0.005451 0.005989
2025-01-05 0.003319 0.003669 0.004054 0.004510 0.005040 0.005640 0.006375
2025-01-12 0.003160 0.003550 0.003989 0.004522 0.005158 0.005899 0.006836
2025-01-19 0.002934 0.003336 0.003796 0.004365 0.005058 0.005884 0.006955
2025-01-26 0.002835 0.003263 0.003760 0.004386 0.005165 0.006114 0.007379
2025-02-02 0.002802 0.003263 0.003807 0.004506 0.005394 0.006502 0.008019
2025-02-09 0.002687 0.003157 0.003719 0.004451 0.005397 0.006599 0.008281
2025-02-16 0.002606 0.003088 0.003672 0.004445 0.005457 0.006769 0.008645
2025-02-23 0.002523 0.003013 0.003614 0.004418 0.005488 0.006898 0.008956
2025-03-02 0.002480 0.002986 0.003613 0.004464 0.005614 0.007158 0.009463
2025-03-09 0.002404 0.002914 0.003552 0.004427 0.005626 0.007260 0.009745
2025-03-16 0.002328 0.002840 0.003487 0.004384 0.005631 0.007356 0.010030
2025-03-23 0.002240 0.002749 0.003398 0.004306 0.005582 0.007373 0.010200
2025-03-30 0.002164 0.002671 0.003322 0.004242 0.005550 0.007411 0.010399
2025-04-06 0.002122 0.002636 0.003301 0.004253 0.005623 0.007605 0.010853
2025-04-13 0.002024 0.002523 0.003173 0.004108 0.005466 0.007447 0.010734
2025-04-20 0.001992 0.002497 0.003162 0.004128 0.005548 0.007652 0.011213
2025-04-27 0.001994 0.002518 0.003214 0.004238 0.005768 0.008079 0.012088
2025-05-04 0.001939 0.002460 0.003156 0.004188 0.005744 0.008122 0.012315
2025-05-11 0.001903 0.002425 0.003129 0.004181 0.005786 0.008272 0.012733
2025-05-18 0.001862 0.002384 0.003091 0.004157 0.005798 0.008373 0.013071
2025-05-25 0.001845 0.002374 0.003098 0.004199 0.005915 0.008649 0.013744